Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.007143 0.008011 0.008958 0.010070 0.011344 0.012760 0.014460
2025-02-23 0.005653 0.006806 0.008170 0.009914 0.012099 0.014766 0.018296
2025-03-02 0.004938 0.006229 0.007842 0.010027 0.012940 0.016735 0.022127
2025-03-09 0.004361 0.005707 0.007462 0.009951 0.013440 0.018239 0.025474
2025-03-16 0.003807 0.005132 0.006920 0.009554 0.013404 0.018944 0.027730
2025-03-23 0.003472 0.004808 0.006670 0.009509 0.013826 0.020308 0.031097
2025-03-30 0.003327 0.004729 0.006746 0.009929 0.014962 0.022850 0.036644
2025-04-06 0.003012 0.004372 0.006377 0.009628 0.014933 0.023543 0.039224
2025-04-13 0.002751 0.004069 0.006056 0.009363 0.014918 0.024237 0.041872
2025-04-20 0.002577 0.003884 0.005898 0.009337 0.015286 0.025600 0.045903
2025-04-27 0.002494 0.003832 0.005944 0.009645 0.016248 0.028107 0.052456
2025-05-04 0.002353 0.003676 0.005805 0.009623 0.016619 0.029576 0.057186
2025-05-11 0.002241 0.003564 0.005741 0.009742 0.017294 0.031771 0.063935
2025-05-18 0.002093 0.003382 0.005544 0.009608 0.017486 0.033064 0.069032
2025-05-25 0.002000 0.003285 0.005484 0.009716 0.018152 0.035394 0.076872
2025-06-01 0.001887 0.003145 0.005336 0.009643 0.018444 0.036977 0.083263
2025-06-08 0.001739 0.002934 0.005043 0.009260 0.018057 0.037041 0.085954
2025-06-15 0.001653 0.002824 0.004929 0.009217 0.018376 0.038712 0.093042
2025-06-22 0.001632 0.002833 0.005033 0.009622 0.019707 0.042885 0.107631
2025-06-29 0.001525 0.002675 0.004810 0.009332 0.019462 0.043294 0.111931
2025-07-06 0.001430 0.002535 0.004611 0.009076 0.019268 0.043802 0.116632
2025-07-13 0.001369 0.002455 0.004524 0.009051 0.019605 0.045687 0.125846
2025-07-20 0.001348 0.002449 0.004583 0.009348 0.020742 0.049798 0.142939